tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-580640109385996655.post8796592311302313065..comments2009-02-22T07:57:50.684-08:00Comments on NKPUS Senate/Governor Election: 2009/2010 Governors Races-OPEN Seats.nkpolitics1279http://www.blogger.com/profile/17806408652642806236noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-580640109385996655.post-784757679738086422009-02-22T07:57:00.000-08:002009-02-22T07:57:00.000-08:00I agree with most of your predictions, but there a...I agree with most of your predictions, but there are some I'd like to comment on.<BR/><BR/>1. New Jersey: I'd list that one as a Tossup. US Attorney Chris Christie is a strong candidate in himself, and not too many people like Governor Corzine at the moment. Plus, New Jerseyans are open to supporting GOP'ers in Statewide races.<BR/><BR/>2. South Dakota: There is some speculation that Daugaard might not be the nominee. He is currently facing State Senate Majority Leader Dave Knudson, Brookings Mayor Scott Munsterman, and Rancher Ken Knuppe in the GOP Primary. If somebody in the GOP Primary were to knock down Daugaard, I'd say Knudson would be the guy to do it. However, I agree on the rating if SHS runs, but if she doesn't, then I'd rate SD-GOV as safe Republican as after SHS, there is no other formidable Democrat in SD that could make a race out of this.<BR/><BR/>3. South Carolina: You may have left out three potential candidates for the SC-GOV GOP Primary. Those three are Congressman J. Gresham Barrett, Attorney and Gubernatorial Son Carroll "Tumpy"(epic nickname) Campbell, and State Senator Tom Davis(rumored "Sanford Candidate")(No relation to former VA Congressman Tom Davis III).<BR/><BR/>4. Hawaii: If I were you, I wouldn't count your chickens before they hatch. While a Democratic victory is probable, I wouldn't count out Republican Lt. Gov. James "Duke" Aiona as a winning candidate here. He's a strong candidate in himself and is a statewide officer, unlike the prospective Democrats here, so I wouldn't count him out.<BR/><BR/>5. Kansas: Besides Moore, there are other formidable Democrats here that could win. The Democrats have Treasurer Dennis McKinney, Attorney General Stephen Six, and former Agriculture Secretary Dan Glickman. I'd say this is Leans GOP if any of them run.<BR/><BR/>6. Alabama: This one is Leans GOP. Alabama is a heavily Republican state that Re-elected Gov. Riley with 58% and voted for McCain with 60%. Somebody like Jack Hawkins, Mike Hubbard, or Troy King could run and keep this for the GOP.<BR/><BR/>7. Arizona: This one is Leans Dem if either Terry Goddard, Gabrielle Giffords, or Phil Gordon run. Brewer has been in office for three months and has just overhauled Education. She will lose big if either of these guys runs.<BR/><BR/>8. Michigan: This one is Leans GOP. While not a GOP State, this has to be a takeover because the Granholm Administration has screwed Michigan financially. John Cherry(nice last name, though) would be seen as a repeat of the past 8 years and would probably lose the seat for the Dem's if he got nominated. A guy like Mike Bouchard could take this from the Dem's if he ran.<BR/><BR/>9. Minnesota: This has to be Leans GOP. Tim Pawlenty has been a relatively popular Governor and Mark Dayton isn't the strongest candidate in the crop. Expect Pawlenty to win again.<BR/><BR/>10. Tennessee: This one is Likely GOP. Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam and Congressman Zach Wamp are strong candidates in themselves, and not too many Democrats are popular here(except Bredesen and maybe Congressman Lincoln Davis). Kim McMillan has been largely overestimated and will likely lose by double digits.<BR/><BR/>These are just my opinions. You don't have to agree.SE-779https://www.blogger.com/profile/14343731162220464612noreply@blogger.com